With Wimbledon about to get underway, we have decided on two value Outright Tips from the Men’s draw.
Currently, there is no value in taking anyone in the Top 8 of the Betting. So we’ve taken a look lower down for some dark horses. First up…
Berrettini @70.00 – Wimbledon Outright Tips
- Berrettini is 10-2 on Grass over the last 12 months with wins over Khachanov x2, FAA, Kyrgios, Seppi, Kudla, and Struff. Overall the Italian’s record on all surfaces has been encouraging with 31 wins and only 13 losses. He may not win here but this price could represent huge value if he can progress deep into the tournament.
- In Stuttgart (Grass) he was extremely impressive winning all his matches in straight sets and facing only a couple of Break Points on his serve.
- With a hold % of above 90% on grass and an all-round game to test most, the Italian will prove to be a headache for many at this years tournament.
- Berrettini will face Albot in the 1st round (10-12 lifetime on Grass) and then either Fritz (16-17 lifetime on Grass) or Berdych (Inactive) in the R2.
- The draw doesn’t look bad for him and he’ll likely set up a quarterfinal with Federer if things go his way.
- Not to get ahead of ourselves, but that isn’t an unwinnable match for the Italian. Federer is well past his prime as we seen in Halle (Bautista-Agut & Tsonga push him all the way)
Jan Lennard Struff @ 1000.00 – Wimbledon Outright Tips
- Struff has a favourable R1 match-up with Marcos Baghdatis who has already announced his retirement after this tournament. Then he will most likely run into a Borna Coric who hasn’t been playing close to his potential lately
- Struff is holding serve on grass around the 90% mark and will prove quite difficult to break
- Struff has played 9 times on Grass in the last 12 months and only lost to Federer (Wimbledon 2018) Berrettini (Stuttgart SF) and Khachanov in a razor-close match
- I don’t expect Struff to win Wimbledon but this price could represent decent value if he can make it through to R4 which I suspect he might
Wimbledon Outright Tips 2019
- Matteo Berrettini to win @ 70.00 with Betfair Exchange – 1 unit
- Jan-Lennard Struff to win @ 1000.00 with Betfair Exchange – 0.25 units