U20 World Cup Betting Tips – Outright Winner
The U-20 World Cup in Poland kicks off later this Month and two squads in particular stick out like a sore thumb!
Below we will take a look at both France and Portugal and why one of them will be crowned World Champions this summer.
Despite what you might think, Squad value is a huge indicator of success and both club and International level. No other squads at this summer’s games come close to having the talent at the disposal of these two nations.
As you can see from the graph below, the value of the squads isn’t even close.
France: Zagadou (value €31m)
- Zagadou has been one of the most important players for Dortmund this season. The central defender has appeared 22 times for Dortmund this season and will no doubt play an even bigger role next season if he can stay injury free.
N’Dicka (value €23m)
- N’Dicka has been a mainstay in Eintracht Frankfurt’s defense this season under Adi Hütter and has been drawing the attention of some of the biggest teams in Europe. At 19 years old it’s only a matter of time before he’s playing on the center stage.
Alban Lafont – GK (value €18m)
- Fiorentina have had a miserable season but Alban Lafont has been one of their best talents. The Young Goalkeeper has been described by many as a “diamond in the rough” and could well be one of the leading Goalkeepers in Europe for years to come.
Boubacar Kamara (value €15.5m)
- Again, Marseille have had a woeful season but one of their shining lights has been CB Kamara. At just 19 years old Kamara got plenty of first-team action making 35 appearances in total. Teams such as AC Milan, Chelsea, and Arsenal are believed to be interested in acquiring the young CB.
Moussa Diaby (value €12.5m)
- 19-year-old Diaby plays predominantly on the left wing with PSG and has managed 24 appearances for PSG this season. This is a clear indication of his talent when you consider the options Tuchel has in attack. From the data I have at my disposal, Diaby has been excellent for the French Youth teams with 0.35 goals per 90 and 0.51 assists per 90. He also scored a hat-trick in his last outing (v Korea).
Michaël Cuisance (value €7m)
- Cuisance hasn’t been given that much playing time this season by Dieter Hecking. With that being said, he was Borrusia Monchengladbach’s player of the season in 17/18 despite only playing 1,350 mins. Cuisance has it all, he can dribble, defend and attack. Expect the gifted technician to play a big part in this tournament.
Gedson Fernandes (value €23m)
- Fernandes broke into the Benfica senior team this season, the midfielder is adept in both defending, dribbling, and passing. His impressive showings have even had him included in Fernando Santos’ senior squads earlier this year. Clubs such as Chelsea and Man Utd are eager to sign the young CM as he has it all.
Diogo Dalot (value €15.5m)
- The Man Utd RB has made 23 appearances for the club since joining last summer and has had a mixed season. Dalot prefers to play RB but was often he was played out of position so it would be unfair to judge his potential based purely on this season’s showing for Utd. Dalot was also part of the squad who played in the 2017 World Cup where he played every game at RB.
Rafael Leão (value €12.5m)
- Leão played 24 times for Lille this season and scored 8 times as they marched towards a monumental 2nd placed finish. Only Kylian Mbappe (players under 20) scored more goals in Ligue 1 this season. Expect Leao to cause plenty of problems for opposing defenses in this tournament
Florentino Luis (value €10.5m)
- Florentino is part of the Golden Generation of Portugal. He won the UEFA European Under-17 championship , and the UEFA European Under-19 championship. Defensively Florentino is excellent expect to see him breaking up opposition attacks and recycling possession all day.
Jota (value €10.5m)
- Jota has only made 4 appearances for the Benfica senior side this season but he’s been a mainstay in the Portuguese youth set-up. In the 2018 U19 European Championships, Jota led Portugal to lift the trophy while scoring 5 and assisting 3 times. Expect the winger to once again play a key role.
Portugal’s manager Hélio Sousa has a profound knowledge of the Portuguese youth system having been involved for over 10 years with the different youth teams. He’s also won the Euro’s twice (U19 and U17) so we know he has the capabilities to take this side all the way.
During his 10 year span with the youth setups in Portugal, his sides are unbeaten in 79.5% of games and are averaging 1.95 goals scored per game
France’s manager Bernard Diomède has also been involved in the youth set up in France for a long time managing the U17’s, U18’s, U19’s and U20’s, although he hasn’t won any trophies yet.
Diomède is unbeaten as a coach of France’s Youth teams in 85% of games he’s taken charge of (33 matches) and his sides have averaged an impressive tally of 2.12 goals scored per game
The other contenders
The last time we seen Argentina U20 in competitive action was when they finished runners up to Ecuador in the u20 Sudamericano. In March of this year, they took on the favourites France in a friendly and were completely outplayed losing 1-0 although it could have been much worse (xG 2.95-0.84)
On Paper Italy’s squad looks quite weak with only one regular from Serie A featuring in the squad (Andrea Pinamonti – Frosinone). In their last few competitive outings (U20 Elite League) They lost 3 of their 4 games losing 2-1 to England, 2-1 to Portugal, and 1-0 to the Czech Republic.
The last competitive action we seen from Nigeria was in the U20 African Cup of Nations where they won only two games (barely) against minnows Burundi and Niger. I don’t see them causing the likes of France and Portugal any problems.
We last saw Uruguay at the u20 Sudamericano when they finished in 3rd place behind Ecuador and Argentina. Uruguay could perhaps be labeled as dark-horses here considering their excellent showing at the Sudamericano and a core group of players that can function as a team. If you can get odds bigger than 15.00 here I wouldn’t blame you having a small 0.5 unit play.
France to win Outright @ 5.00 with Bet365 – 4.75 units
Portugal to win Outright @ 9.00 with Betway – 2.5 units
(speculative) Uruguay to win Outright @ 20.00 with Coolbet – 0.5 units
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