Tour de France Betting Tips

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Tour de France Betting Tips

Tour de France Betting Tips:

The Tour de France will begin in Brussels on the 6th of July for the 106th edition of the competition.

Renowned cycling expert Wouter Baas has given a detailed breakdown on his value plays for both the Outright Winner and Podium markets below.

Tour de France betting Tips

Tour de France 2019 Tips – Overview

With a lot of top riders like Froome, Dumoulin and Roglic missing. This Tour de France appears to be one of the most open editions in a long time.

Last year’s winner Geraint Thomas took a long time to celebrate his performance and hasn’t shown a lot of form so far this year.

With only 27 kilometers of individual time trialing and a lot of kilometers at high altitude, this could be anyone’s Tour.


Outright Winner

Geraint Thomas

Best odds: Winner 3.5 – Podium 1.6

Thomas took his time this winter and it resulted in an abysmal spring. His only noteworthy result before crashing out of the Tour de Suisse was a 3rd place in the Tour of Romandie. His 10th place in the final time trial said more about his form than his eventual podium spot. The Tour de Suisse would be his final preparation but he crashed out in stage 4. Although Thomas’ main specialty is consistency and preparing for a race (and he still has an incredibly strong team), his odds don’t seem good enough to bet on him.

Egan Bernal

Best odds: Winner 4.0 – Podium 1.5

With only one Grand Tour under his belt, Bernal’s results, combined with his undeniable talent, have made him the big favourite this year for a lot of fans. Bernal confirmed his potential this season by winning Paris-Nice (after an impressive performance during a windy stage) and the Tour de Suisse. The main questions are his role within the team (Thomas is still head honcho) and his ability to perform every day for 3 weeks in the role of leader if it comes to it.

Jakob Fuglsang

Best Odds: Winner 6.5 – Podium 2.3

Fuglsang is having the best year of his career, winning the Vuelta a Andalucía, Liege and the Dauphine. At age 34, he’s suddenly one of the main favorites for the Tour de France podium. And for a good reason. At these odds, his limited experience as a team leader in a Grand Tour and his inconsistency in time trials make him a risky investment though.  

Adam Yates

Best odds: Winner 14.0 – Podium 4.00

After a very strong spring (2nd in Tirreno and Catalunya, 4th in Liege), Adam only appeared again at the Dauphine with a decent performance until he dropped out because of stomach problems. Although flaky in individual time trials, Yates has a strong line-up for the team time trial and any sort of terrain behind his back.  If quickly recovered from his alleged illness and in top shape, Yates will be one of the serious podium contenders.

Nairo Quintana / Movistar

  • Nairo Quintana – Winner: 19.00 – Podium 4.00
  • Alejandro Valverde – Winner: 101.00 – Podium 16.00
  • Mikel Landa – Winner: 26.00 – Podium 7.00

With Quintana never really showing the quality he once had nowadays. Landa feeling the Giro in his legs. Valverde seemingly developing an eating disorder after crumbling under the pressure of the rainbow jersey. The Movistar trident doesn’t look that sharp for this year’s Tour. Although Quintana should still have the physical qualities to win a GT. It’s doubtful Movistar will be a homogenous team like they were in the Giro.

The French

  • Thibaut Pinot – Winner 16 – Podium 5.00
  • Romain Bardet – Winner 26.00 – Podium 5.00

After his second place in 2016, Romain Bardet has mainly shown his quality in the classics and has been lackluster in stage races. It’s also inevitable he’ll lose time during every kilometer of time trialing. After a mediocre Dauphine, a podium place seems like a stretch. 

Being both a quality Grand Tour rider and a bit of an enigma. Thibaut Pinot could very well podium this year. He’s had a strong year so far and if he doesn’t crumble under the pressure of French expectations and manages to avoid a bad day in the third week, Pinot could very well exceed expectations (of those who are not French).

Podium Finish

As mentioned above, there are quite a few candidates that probably won’t win the whole thing but might very well podium. Below are the candidates.

Richie Porte

Best Odds: Winner 17.00 – Podium 5.00

Still one of the most intrinsically best GT riders out there. Odds of him crashing out are still higher than him contending for podium though.

Steven Kruijswijk

Best odds: Winner 67.00 – Podium 5.00

Pure diesel that lost his shot at winning a Grand Tour when he crashed into a snow wall during the Giro of 2016. After a 5th place in last year’s Tour de France and a 4th place in the Vuelta a Espana. Kruijswijk’s consistency might very well get him a podium spot this year.

Rigoberto Uran

Best odds: Winner 34.00 – Podium 9.00

Uran hasn’t shown a lot this year, but he’s an oddball and showed some form in the Route du Sud.

Daniel Martin

Best odds: Winner 67.00 – Podium 16.00

After an unfortunate spring, Martin seems to be clawing his way back to the top. After an 8th place in a Dauphine where he seemed to be steadily improving, Martin might be the best value bet for podium.

Summary

Lacking a clear favorite, This year’s Tour de France seems hard to predict. Consider the strength of Team Ineos, either Bernal or maybe Thomas will probably take the title. As for value:  a bet for Yates, Pinot or Martin podium could very well pay off.

Official Tour de France Tips:

  • Winner: Bernal @ 4.00 – 2 units
  • Podium: Pinot @ 5.00 – 2 units
  • Podium: Valverde @ 16.00 – 0.5 units
  • Winner: Yates @ 14.00 -0.5 units
  • Podium: Martin @ 16.00 – 0.5 unis





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