Champions League Tips - Spurs v Dortmund

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Champions League Tips - Spurs v Dortmund

Champions League Tips – Spurs v Dortmund

Tottenham Hotspur who squeezed through a very tough Group phase will host Bundesliga leaders Borussia Dortmund tonight. We take a look at the key metrics below and the best value bet for the match.

Key Metrics:

  • Borussia Dortmund will be without Marco Reus and Paco Alacer which should blunt their attack significantly for this trip to London.
  • At the weekend BVB threw away a 3-0 lead against Hoffenheim to draw 3-3 and previous to that they were knocked out of the DFB Pokal at home by Werder Bremen (3-3 lost on penalties)
  • Dortmund have only won 4 of their last 13 away games in the Champions League.
  • Only one of those wins came against a team from a “Top 5” league. That was Monaco in this years group phase.
  • As we all know now, considering Monaco’s troubles this season, there is nothing impressive about BVB getting a 2-0 win on the road there.
  • Spurs home form has been excellent since about November with 10 wins from 12 in all competitions.
  • During this recent run, they have been scoring on average 1.92 goals at Wembley.
  • In Spurs group phase they faced a far sterner test than BVB having to face Barcelona, Inter Milan, and Eredivisie league leaders PSV.
  • In their home game, however, they gave a good account of themselves going forward with 5 goals scored and an xG total of 4.83.
  • Dortmund have kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 in all competitions.
  • Dortmund have conceded 2+ goals in all of their last 8 trips to teams from Top 5 leagues. (I’m excluding these years Monaco side for obvious reasons)
  • Finally, it’s worth noting that Dortmund have had to play a total of 319 mins over the last 11 days while Spurs have only had to play 191 mins over the same period.

Spurs probable XI: Hugo Lloris, Toby Alderweireld, Davinson Sanchez, Jan Vertonghen, Kieran Trippier, Eric Dier, Harry Winks, Danny Rose, Lucas Moura,Christian Eriksen, Son Heung-min

Dortmund probable XI: Roman Bürki, Achraf Hakimi, Ömer Toprak, Abdou Diall, Marcel Schmelzer, Thomas Delaney, Axel Witsel, Raphaël Guerreiro, Maximilian Philipp, Jadon Sancho, Mario Götze

Best Bets:

Champions League Tips

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