Champions League Outright Tips
Champions League Outright Tips: Last season we tipped Ajax to win Outright upwards of 45/1, and they almost did us proud narrowly missing out on the Final thanks to a last-minute strike from Lucas Moura.
With the likes of Man City, Barcelona, Juventus, Real Madrid, Bayern Munich, and Juventus slipping up in a big way last season we’re going to attempt to unearth some more value options that could have a deep run in the competition.
Paris-Saint Germain @ 11.00
PSG are a seeded team which should make their transition to the knockout stages relatively straight forward. Last season they got a group of death (Liverpool, Napoli, Red Star) they’d be extremely unfortunate to get a similarly difficult group this time around.
PSG didn’t perform too badly in last years Champions League campaign despite the early exit.
The French side were on the wrong end one of the biggest upsets of the year when Man Utd pulled back a 2-0 deficit to overturn the result in Paris (3-3 AGG).
Nothing went right for PSG that night. It happens, but we shouldn’t let that one result cloud our judgment, they beat the eventual Champions in the group stages (Liverpool) and looked like a force to contend with throughout out the tournament.
Summer Transfer window
At the time of writing Neymar’s future is unknown but clearly, if they can keep him happy and retain him it will be beneficial. Judging by the latest comments from Technical Director Leonardo, it seems PSG will only part with Neymar if they receive a massive cash offer so it seems more likely that he stays.
PSG have made some shrewd moves in the transfer market this summer bringing in versatile players like Diallo (BVB), Sarabia (Sevilla) Gueye (Everton), and Herrera (Man Utd) while hanging onto their best players
Thomas Tuchel has a wonderful record in the Champions League. If we exclude the two legs of BVB v Monaco (explosion incident) his sides have only lost three times in Europe (PSG v Man Utd, Liverpool v PSG, and Benfica v BVB)
Atletico Madrid @ 31.00
Despite some big names leaving, Atletico are not necessarily weaker. Remember their real strength is their coach, not individuals.
Atleti have played 88 European matches under Simone and are unbeaten in 80.7% of them
At the time of writing, they’ve seen Godin, Griezmann, Lucas Hernandez and Rodri, Juanfran, and Luis Felipe have left the club.
However, they have spent big and brought in
- João Félix (Benfica) for £113 Million
- Marcos Llorente (Real Madrid) for £27 Million
- Mario Hermoso (Espanyol) for £22.5 Million
- Kieran Trippier (Spurs) for £19.8 Million
- Felipe (Porto) for £18 Million
- Renan Lodi (Atletico PR) for £18 Million
- Hector Herrera (Porto) for Free
- James Rodriguez is also close to joining according to the latest news
Atletico Madrid have won two Europa Leagues and made the UCL final twice with Diego Simone so we know they’ll be right in the mix come the knock-out rounds.
They’re a side who can hang with the best so we should take advantage of this price while it lasts.
Napoli @ 41.00
Napoli under Ancellotti are always going to a threat in Europe.
Ancelotti has 159 Champions League matches under his belt and is unbeaten in around 78% of those games
Last season they missed out the knockout stages narrowly and beat the eventual champions 1-0 in the group stages.
The Partenopei now have one of the best CB pairings in World Football with Kostas Manolas and Kalidou Koulibaly.
Judging from what I’m seeing it doesn’t appear as though their Mercato is finished just yet either. Some big names including Mauro Icardi could even be added to the squad in the coming weeks if rumours are to be believed.
Anyway, regardless of that I believe they do have to be respected. They will be a 2nd seed so should have a decent chance to qualify providing they aren’t handed another group of death.
From that point on I believe they’re capable of hanging with the best in Europe and their home advantage in the San Paolo will be a huge advantage as always.
Valencia @ 101.00
With Marcelino at the helm, Valencia always have the chance to win any match and with home games at the Mestalla, they have a huge home advantage.
In 41 Champions League and Europa League games, Marcelino is unbeaten in 78%
At the time of writing, Valencia have added some depth to their squad. Cillessen (GK), Maxi Gomez (CF) and a few other talented young players like Jason (RW) and Denis Cheryshev (LW)
None of the players that left this summer make them any weaker either.
In last years campaign, they only lost to Juventus.
Unfortunately for them, their inability to take maximum points off BSC Young Boys was their downfall
Valencia will be one of the teams in Pot 3 so a slightly harder route to the knockout rounds will await them.
With that being said though, they will represent a very tricky opponent even for the best teams in this competition. If they can escape the group stages which I expect them too this price will represent value.
Our Bets – Champions League Outright Tips
- PSG to win Outright @ 11.00 (2 units)
- Atletico to win Outright @ 31.00 (2 units)
- Napoli to win Outright @ 46.00 (1 unit)
- Valencia to win Outright @ 101.00 (0.5 units)