Champions League Betting Preview – 06/11/2018
Red Star v Liverpool
- Red Star haven’t lost a game at the hostile Stadion Rajko Mitić in over a year now (0-1 loss to Arsenal last defeat)
- Tickets are sold out for this game so we can expect an electric atmosphere to support the home side despite the odds massively stacked against them.
- The Serbs will be without their main attacking threat in Richmond Boakye (injured), Since returning from China Boakye has scored 5 goals in 6 appearances.
- Liverpool will be without Henderson and Shaqiri, the later has been left out of the squad as Shaqiri’s heritage (Kosovan) could incite crowd trouble they believe.
- Klopp is likely to rotate slightly with a congested fixture list approaching. Moreno, Matip, Lovern, Fabinho, Lallana, and Sturridge should all feature.
- Red Star were utterly dreadful in Anfield and gave up 4.94 in xG to Liverpool who ran out comfortable 4-0 winners, In their previous encounter in the UCL PSG put 6 past them from an xG total of 4.22
- The Serbs rank dead last for both expected goals (xG) and expected goals against (xGA) if they are to get anything from this game they’ll need to frustrate Liverpool as they did against Napoli.
Monaco v Brugge
- Monaco sits joint last in Ligue 1 at the moment, Thierry Henry’s appointment hasn’t improved things at the Stade Louis II and with injuries piling up it’s hard to know when things are going to improve for the former French Champions.
- Les Monégasques will be without Guebbels, Lopes, Pellegri, Traore, Subasic, N’Doram, Raggi, Alhou, Golovin, and Jovetic.
- There’s a bad atmosphere inside the club at the moment and it may get worse after Henry publicly called out his players for not “playing without any desire” in their 1-0 loss to Reims at the weekend.
- Monaco are currently on a 14 game winless streak across all competitions and have failed to win any of their last 11 fixtures in the Champions League.
- Brugge have improved since their last UCL campaign but are still weak opposition and a team you would expect a Monaco side to be beating.
- The Belgian side have won only once on the road in the UCL in their last 13 attempts (incl qualifiers) that sole win came against Rapid Wien in 2005.
- Brugge’s recent form hasn’t been anything to inspire confidence either with only 1 win in 7.
- These teams are now battling out for a Europa League place, expect an open enough game as a draw suits neither team.
Atletico Madrid v Borussia Dortmund
- The big news here is that Atletico Madrid’s squad has been hit by a mini injury crisis, Diego Costa, Diego Godin, Koke, Lemar, and Savic are all injured and will play no part here.
- Dortmund have 3 wins from 3 so far so will likely be happy to come away from this game avoiding defeat, they also have a huge game against Bayern Munich at the weekend that they’ll have one eye on.
- Atletico have lost only one of their last 15 home games in the Champions League (v Chelsea)
- The Madrid side are on an 8 match unbeaten run at home to German clubs (W6 D2)
- Lucien Favre is still unbeaten as BVB manager, After 16 games in charge his record reads W10-D5-L0, Scored 41 Conceded 13
- Saying that Dortmund have only won 5 of their last 18 European games on the road
- 19 of Dortmund’s last 27 European games have seen Over 2.5 Goals
Inter v Barcelona
Analysis and Tip locked – Members only
Napoli v PSG
Analysis and Tip locked – Members only
Spurs v PSV
- Poch has now taken charge of 17 Spurs games in the Champions League, his record reads W7 D4 L6 – 29 scored, 22 conceded.
- Spurs will have to do without their starting GK Lloris here after he was sent off in their last game, 3rd choice GK Paulo Gazzaniga is expected to start this game.
- Furthermore, Dier, Dembele, Wanyama, Vertonghen, and Rose will also miss out.
- PSV will have a near full strength squad to choose from
- With Barca and Inter leading the group a draw here will likely mean neither has a chance of qualifying for the next round. Expect an urgent approach from both teams.
- Tottenham have kept only 1 clean sheet at home in the Champions League in their last 9, that came against APOEL last season.
- PSV are leading the Eredivisie at the moment playing some really impressive stuff. Not only do they lead the xG and goalscoring charts, they also have the joint best defense in the league along with Ajax.
- Their away form in the Champions League however cannot be ignored as they’ve only managed 1 win on the road in their last 10 attempts. That sole win was a qualification game against BATE Borisov.
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