Brazil v Peru Tips

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Brazil v Peru Tips

Brazil v Peru Betting Tips

Brazil v Peru Tips.

Brazil will look to capture their first piece of Silverware since the Confederations Cup back in 2013.

Brazil v Peru Tips

Their opponents Peru have fought through adversity and made to the final but the 5-0 drubbing they received from Brazil in the group stages will be fresh in their memory.

Below we’ll explore the key metrics and the best value bet ahead of this game.

Form – Brazil v Peru Tips

As we mentioned in our last preview, Brazil are ranking 1st in almost every metric at the Copa America. 

  • Brazil rank 1st for expected goals with 11.2 generated so far. Since making the change to Jesus-Firmino-Everton-Coutinho Brazil have looked a far great threat in attack so I don’t expect Tite to change this.
  • Peru, in contrast have generated only 5.56xG with the majority of that coming against Bolivia, Venezuela and Chile.
  • In their matches against tougher opposition (Brazil and Uruguay) they generated a total of 0.22xG and had just two attempts on target.
  • At the back, Brazil have been the most solid defensively with 1.42 expected goals against and 0 goals conceded. Peru have conceded six times but from looking at their xGA of 9.52 that number could have been higher. 
  • In their semifinal with Chile, they gave up 17 attempts on goal that totaled 2.25 xG for La Roja
  • Brazil have won 5 of the last 6 meetings between these two. The only loss came in the last Copa America which Brazil didn’t take that seriously and were under the stewardship of an incompetent Dunga
  • From those matches, Brazil have outscored Peru 15-2

Team News – Brazil v Peru Tips

Both sides will be fairly unchanged from their Semi-Finals. Farfan is still out for Peru, while Richarlison, Fernandinho, and Felipe Luis are also doubts.
Fernandinho and Richarlison are not needed in my opinion. Artur and Casemiro will play in a double-pivot and Jesus-Coutinho-Everton-Firmino have been linking up well so I can’t imagine Tite will want to disturb that.

Management – Brazil v Peru Tips

Under Tite, Brazil have an outstanding record on home turf. In their World Cup qualification games they won every single game at home scoring an average of 3 per game and conceding a total of one goal in over 540 mins of competitive action

Tite and Gareca have gone head to head just twice in their careers but Tite has come out on top in both of their previous meetings (5-0 & 2-0)

Verdict

It’s impossible to look past a Brazil win here in front of a jam-packed Maracanã. With that being said I don’t see another 5-0 drubbing.

Peru know what’s coming at them and Gareca is a great coach. Expect a low scoring win for the Seleção

Recommend Bet

Brazil to win and Under 3.5 Total Goals @ 1.8 with Betway/Blacktype/BoyleSports – 2 units


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