ATP Tennis Tips

By in
ATP Tennis Tips

ATP Tennis Tips

ATP Tennis Tips

ATP Tennis Tips: Querrey v Rublev

Rublev to win @ 1.72 with Pinnacle – 2 units

  • As we mentioned in the last Querrey write-up. I believe the slower courts in Adelaide coupled with blistering heat doesn’t do Querrey any favours.
  • In his last match against Grégoire Barrère, we opposed him as a heavy favourite and it came right down to the wire so I feel with the clear talent gap he’ll struggle even more here
  • Rublev holds serve almost at a similar clip to Rublev but the Russian breaks serve 26.2% compared to Querrey’s 16.5%
  • Windy conditions are forecast that could also throw off Querrey’s serve oriented game (“Winds SSW at 25 to 40 km/h. Winds could occasionally gust over 65 km/h.”)
  • The one time these two met on HC, Rublev won in straight sets (7-6, 7-6)
  • Rublev is 29-13 on HC over the last 12 months while Querrey is 7-9 for the same time period
  • When priced as a favourite on HC, Rublev is 22-7 
  • The Russian is also 14-5 against big servers over the last 12 months
  • Lastly, Rublev looked incredible in Doha last week and didn’t even drop a set. Unless we’re guessing about his fitness level this is a clear bet for me.

Final word: Expect Querrey’s limited return game to be the difference here

How to Trade Tennis for a profit

Leave a reply