Algeria v Nigeria Tips
Nigeria got past a stubborn South Africa side winning 2-1 thanks to a fortunate last-minute goal from the William Troost-Ekong.
Algeria didn’t have such an easy path to the semi finals. The Fennecs required extra time and penalties to get past the Ivory Coast in the stifling 35 °C + degrees temperates in Suez.
Taking into account the extra 30 mins of play for Algeria plus the extra day’s rest for Nigeria. The Super Eagles will be the fresher of the two teams heading into Sunday’s match.
Defensive concerns – Algeria v Nigeria Tips
Nigeria have conceded 5 times in this tournament, that’s more than any other team left in the competition. Their expected goals against is also the highest of teams in the competition.
Algeria have conceded just once in this tournament but that doesn’t tell the whole story, their expected goals against is actually similar to Nigeria’s 4.03 xGA meaning that they’re fortunate not to have conceded more. Algeria’s GK Raïs M’Bolhi is also a huge liability.
Both teams offer a considerable attacking threat. Algeria are the highest scorers in the competition with 10 goals while Nigeria ranks joint 2nd with 7 goals
In terms of expected goals(xG), both teams have put up similar numbers
Head to Head – Algeria v Nigeria Tips
These teams last met in qualifiers for Russia 2018. Nigeria won the home match 3-1 and then drew 1-1 away from home. That 1-1 match was kind of meaningless though as Nigeria had already won the group.
If we exclude their game with Madagascar (already qualified) Nigeria haven’t lost a competitive game since they faced Argentina in the World Cup last year.
As for Algeria, they’ve been impeccable at this year’s tournament. However if we take a look over their competitive action since 2017 we see far less impressive results.
Algeria played 10 competitive matches prior to this tournament since 2017 and won only 3 times. Those wins came against Togo x2 and Benin.
Expect the extra day’s rest for Nigeria to be significant heading into this game. Algeria have had their fair share of good fortune in this tournament but they get brought back down to earth here with Nigeria taking the initiative and progressing to the final.
Algeria v Nigeria Tip
Nigeria to qualify at 2.2 with Bet Victor – 1 unit